Stacktown Platform
ProphetLoss
Automated credibility tracking and claim verification for public figures and organizations. Track who said what, when, and whether it turned out to be true.
Accountability Shouldn't Depend on Memory
Public figures make bold claims every day — about economic projections, product launches, policy outcomes, and competitive threats. Some of those claims age well. Many don't. But by the time the truth is clear, the original statement is buried under months of new headlines.
ProphetLoss captures verifiable claims as they're made, tracks them over time, and scores each figure's credibility based on real outcomes. No editorial bias. No selective memory. Just data-driven accountability for what people say in public.
How It Works
From claim capture to credibility score — a fully automated pipeline for tracking public accountability.
Automated Claim Extraction
LLM-powered ingestion from YouTube, Twitter/X, and web sources automatically identifies and records verifiable claims. Adversarial LLM verification confirms claim validity before publishing.
Three-Mode Scoring Engine
Brier-derived prediction accuracy, binary factual accuracy, and graduated promise fulfillment scoring. Each mode captures a different kind of public claim with appropriate methodology.
Multi-Axis Credibility Profiles
Accuracy, boldness (benchmarked against prediction market odds), and impact combined into a composite credibility profile. Browse leaderboards, figure profiles, and topic-level breakdowns.
Public Figure Profiles
Browse credibility profiles for politicians, executives, pundits, and organizations. See their full claim history, accuracy rates, and topic-level breakdowns.
Tamper-Proof Resolution
Claim resolutions are settled on-chain via smart contracts for tamper-proof accountability. Every score links to source claim, evidence, resolution rationale, and full audit trail.
Alert System
Follow specific figures or topics and get notified when new claims are made or existing claims are resolved. Stay informed without manual tracking.
Who Uses ProphetLoss
Journalists & Researchers
Fact-check claims against historical records. Build stories around credibility trends and accountability gaps.
Investors & Analysts
Evaluate executive credibility when assessing leadership teams. Track whether earnings guidance and strategic promises are kept.
Civic Organizations
Hold elected officials accountable for campaign promises and policy claims with data, not opinion.
Informed Citizens
Look up any public figure's credibility score before deciding how much weight to give their latest statement.
Interested in ProphetLoss?
ProphetLoss is in active development. If you're interested in early access or want to discuss how credibility tracking could fit your use case, get in touch.